Tanking Allegations Resurface

Let the whining begin!

I just read an article by Jon Tayler casting aspersions on the Phillies for taking advantage of the market to sign Jake Arrieta to a team-friendly deal, and thereby becoming one step closer to making the play-offs. Tayler accuses the Phillies of engaging in that new dirty word in baseball, “tanking.”

The word “tanking” has some seriously negative connotations to it. It creates the notion that a team is essentially throwing games in order to play the rules to get high draft picks and more pool money. 

But before getting judgmental, consider who this nomenclature helps. It is designed specifically to arouse fans’ emotions, to push their teams to sign high-priced free agents. That’s right, if you are not signing high-priced, then according to certain sportswriters you are tanking. And who does signing high-priced free agents help?  Sports agents. Sports agents negotiate the deals for the players, and take a cut of the salary as their fee. The higher the prices on the free agents, the better for the sports agents. Accusing teams of tanking, therefore, helps the agents put pressure on the teams so that the agents can sponge more out of the system. 

But this Winter has seen sports agents totally misread the market. One agent in particular, Scott Boras, stands out. Boras engaged in old school tactics not fit for an atmosphere dominated by analytics and the current Collective Bargaining Agreement. Boras encouraged his clients to hold out for long term deals at high salaries well into Spring Training. In the end, those types of deals were not forthcoming. 

The assumption in most of the criticism is that a player in his thirties who has performed well in the past deserves to reap the reward with high salaries and the security of multi-year contracts. But why?  Many teams have suffered the effects of signing a big name player to such long-term deals, only to find themselves stuck with an aging player no longer performing up to his past standards. An aging player is on the decline, and thus not that valuable in the long-term. 

Allegations of tanking ignore the cycle most baseball teams experience.  A team works hard to get competitive. The team is in the thick of the play-off hunt for a few years. Then the talent ages, and the team enters a process of rebuilding. When a team rebuilds, it is just logical that it will take it best assets, and use them to create potential. Thus, rebuilding teams trade star players for packages of prospects. In such an environment, signing high-priced free agents makes no sense. 

At any rate, the same market forces will not be in play in the upcoming off-season. The two best players expected to hit the free agency market, Manny Machado and Bryce Harper, will be in their mid-twenties and thus in the prime of their careers. They should command much higher salaries than the free agents from the past two years. 

This is all to say that a player’s age has much to do with his value on the market. Players in their thirties will just have less demand than players in their twenties, generally speaking. Those hitting the free agency market in their thirties generally have to thank the Collective Bargaining Agreement, which allows a team more control over a player for his first six years of service, and penalizes teams for having too high a commitment in salaries. 

If players really want to situation to change, it is better to focus on that agreement and change the structure, rather than throwing around accusations of “tanking.”

Quite frankly, I have very little sympathy for sports agents who are unable to read the market and simply expect their clients to receive multi-million dollar contracts simply because of service time and past performance. 

By: William J. Kovatch, Jr. 

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